Aura Group
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Navigating the new tax landscape – The shift from capital growth to income yield and the case for private credit
Roger Montgomery
June 22, 2026
The Federal Labor Government’s 2026-27 Budget tax reform package represents the most sweeping overhaul of Australia’s investment tax landscape in nearly three decades. By winding back the traditional pillars of wealth creation – specifically the 50 per cent Capital Gains Tax (CGT) discount and negative gearing on established residential property – the government has fundamentally altered the math of investing.
While today’s major policy concessions (including exemptions for testamentary trusts and a step back from sweeping ministerial discretionary powers) provide some targeted relief, the core framework remains intact.
The clear takeaway for investors is a systemic structural shift: the traditional focus on heavily leveraged capital growth has been severely compromised, making high-yielding income generation far more appealing. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Economics, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Popular, Property.
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WHITEPAPERS
The property rug pull
Roger Montgomery
June 19, 2026
Proposed changes to negative gearing, capital gains tax (CGT) and new Australian Taxation Office (ATO) rules for holiday homes could significantly alter the economics of property investing in Australia. By reducing the tax advantages associated with property ownership, the changes may weaken demand across several investor groups and influence property prices over time.
Drawing on supply and demand principles, this whitepaper paper examines how investors, rentvesters, property flippers, holiday homeowners and discretionary trusts could be affected. It also explores the potential impact on borrowing capacity, resale demand and the attractiveness of established residential property compared with new builds. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Economics, Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Popular, Property, Whitepapers.
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Global Private Credit thoughts
Roger Montgomery
June 12, 2026
San Francisco and Lisbon-based KIÉR LIÓR provides institutional investors, family offices, and direct lenders with institutional-grade oversight, underwriting and portfolio management services for international private credit portfolios.
On the subject of Private Credit, their musings are well worth your time, remembering the comments are typically U.S. and Euro-centric, where conditions and legal frameworks may not favour lenders as much as they do in Australia.
Reflecting on a recent episode of the Credit Edge podcast featuring Goldman Sachs Chief Credit Strategist Amanda Lynam, KIÉR LIÓR Managing Director Aznaur Midov noted: continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Economics, Market commentary.
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2026 Budget Impact – Property flipping into Private Credit
Roger Montgomery
May 18, 2026
If you were thinking of buying a, say, a $2 million property to renovate and flip in 18 months, Labor’s 2026 budget just made that a perilous strategy, while also making investing in an AA rated Private Credit Fund way more attractive.
The 2026 Federal Budget has significantly shifted the goalposts for you. If you haven’t signed a contract yet, you are stepping into a very different tax environment than the one that existed last week.
In the current 2026 climate, a private credit fund returning 7.22 per cent as at 31 March 2026*, is almost certainly the superior choice for a $2 million allocation over an 18-month horizon.
*Returns are net of fees and assumes reinvestment of distributions. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. Inception date 4 October 2022. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Property.
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MEDIA
Over The Money Fence – Why everything still feels so uncertain right now – and what it means for your money
Roger Montgomery
May 14, 2026
This week I am back with Over The Money Fence with Nicola Dale and Di Edwards.
This series aims to help you take control of your finances with clarity and confidence.
In this episode, I reassure Nicola and Di that despite everything that’s going on globally, it’s not all doom and gloom when it comes to the economy and markets.
Are we in a recession? I discuss the cost-of-living crisis and how this is changing our spending habits, plus the latest pricing tricks used by supermarkets and airlines.
We also talk about property and why I believe that people who are predicting that property prices in Australia will fall by 40 per cent are wrong. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Economics, Investing Education, Market commentary, Podcast Channel.
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WHITEPAPERS
Cutting through the noise – why Australian private credit stands apart
Roger Montgomery
April 21, 2026
With public markets more volatile there’s a growing focus on investments that can deliver regular income with less reliance on market movements.
Australian private credit stands out because it’s built more conservatively and with a clear focus on protecting investor capital, supported by a robust regulatory framework and the transparency of the Personal Property Securities Register (PPSR), which clearly defines lender priority. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Editor's Pick, Whitepapers.
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MEDIA
ABC Nightlife – rethinking portfolios in a changing market
Roger Montgomery
March 18, 2026
I joined Philip Clark on ABC Nightlife to discuss the shift toward a more volatile market environment in 2026. With inflation likely rising again, growth slowing and oil prices climbing, the key conditions that supported recent equity gains are fading. We also explored potential war scenarios involving Iran and how they could impact markets, inflation and interest rates.
Given this backdrop, I highlighted the need to rethink portfolio construction, with private credit emerging as a potential alternative offering attractive income with lower volatility. We also touched on rising fuel costs, price pressures on consumers, and broader structural challenges in Australia’s economy. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Radio.
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WHITEPAPERS
Why I’m doubling down on the call to invest in Private Credit and Digital Income
Roger Montgomery
March 12, 2026
The traditional 60/40 portfolio approach is proving less effective at balancing risk and return in today’s environment, particularly as the historical relationship between equities and bonds has shifted. Where bonds once tended to rise when equities fell, both asset classes have at times moved in the same direction during periods of persistent inflation and policy uncertainty, weakening diversification benefits. At the same time, elevated equity valuations, increased concentration in major indices and higher government debt levels have contributed to a more volatile and policy-sensitive market backdrop. As a result, some investors are reassessing how capital is allocated and how diversification is achieved. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Digital Asset Funds Management, Whitepapers.
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Planting the seeds: Is this the best high-yield option for 2026?
Roger Montgomery
March 10, 2026
How to maximise your savings with higher-yield funds with competitive returns and risk.
Looking to make your money work harder this year? Whether you’re looking to fund a better lifestyle, build your nest egg or simply grow some savings, you may want to read this article.
For many retirees – and particularly people who may be navigating their finances independently for the first time – the stock market can feel less like an ‘opportunity’, and more like a rollercoaster you never asked to board. When you are at a stage in life where preserving what you’ve built is as important as growing it, the daily ups and downs of the stock market can keep anyone awake at night.
The traditional “safe” bets, like term deposits, often fail to keep pace with the lifestyle you’ve worked so hard to earn. So, where do you turn when you want the yield of a high-performer but the stability of a fortress? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Popular.
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Rethinking the core
Roger Montgomery
March 6, 2026
For decades, Australian and global investors seeking income have depended on a traditional “Core” fixed income allocation for their portfolios, mainly consisting of government-related debt and investment-grade corporate bonds. The result is the conventional 60/40 portfolio – a widely accepted blend of equities and fixed income (bonds).
Structural changes in liquidity, regulation, and market dominance, however, are occurring rapidly and may reduce the effectiveness of these old benchmarks. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Insightful Insights, Investing Education.